Internal Dynamics Affecting Kenya’s Diplomatic Leverage in the Kenya–Somalia Maritime Boundary Dispute

Executive Summary

This paper examines the influence of internal politics, divided loyalties, Al- Shabaab infiltrations and institutional inefficiencies on Kenya’s approach to its maritime dispute with Somalia. These domestic and regional variables have profound effect on Kenya’s diplomatic leverage on the issue. The key findings and recommendations are informed by expert opinions and secondary data on Kenya’s foreign policy and diplomacy. The discussion concludes that with two months to the determination of the International Court of Justice (ICJ) case, Kenya has the opportunity to craft a strategic diplomatic recourse. Nevertheless, she should prioritize getting her house in order. Thereafter recommendations are offered on reconstitution of the negotiation task force; reorganization of institutions managing the dispute; winning the support of the people of northern Kenya and the coastal regions and; managing violent extremism.